The Olimpico braces for a heavyweight Serie A clash in Round 5, with Roma riding a wave of confidence after four wins from their last five. Inter arrive with firepower of their own - 14 goals in five outings - but their defensive record on the road tells a different story, conceding in 4 of those 5 games.
Roma's numbers are striking: 13 goals scored, just 2 conceded, and 3 clean sheets in their last five. The model puts Roma's win probability at 84%, yet the market prices them at 2.70 - a gap too wide to ignore. Head-to-head, Roma have lost both recent meetings, but their current form is on another level entirely.
The model screams value on Roma at 2.70. Inter's leaky defence, conceding in 4 of 5 recent games, is the edge. Back Roma to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 05.04.26 | Serie A | 5–2 | O2.5 |
| 18.10.25 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 27.04.25 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 20.10.24 | Serie A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 10.02.24 | Serie A | 2–4 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service