Serie A kicks off under the Roman lights, and Roma carry a grudge worth backing. In their last two meetings with Fiorentina, the hosts have won both, scoring 6 and conceding just 1. Lorenzo Pellegrini is absent, but Roma's pre-season showed real attacking intent: 10 goals across 5 friendlies, over 2.5 in every single one. Fiorentina arrive in better defensive shape, 2 wins and 1 loss in 5, but Fabiano Parisi is out and they have conceded in 4 of those 5 outings. The h2h dominance is the story here. Roma have a 4-0 home demolition of Fiorentina just months ago in memory, and the Olimpico crowd will demand more. At 5.00-5.75, Fiorentina to win is a ghost price. Roma at 1.62 is the honest price, but the swing play is AWAY at 5.50 if you fancy the upset. I stay with the hosts.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.05.26 | Serie A | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 05.10.25 | Serie A | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 04.05.25 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 27.10.24 | Serie A | 5–1 | O2.5 |
| 10.03.24 | Serie A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service