Arsenal arrive at the Emirates in decent nick, winning four of their last five across all competitions. The one blemish was a 3-0 loss at Brighton, but a 1-0 win away at Napoli in UCL matchday one shows they can grind results in Europe. Lille lost their own UCL opener 3-2 at home to Betis and have dropped two of their last five, suggesting they are not yet at the level required to trouble elite opposition on the road. The injury list is a real concern for Arsenal: Konsa, Saliba, Havertz and Tzolis are all out. Saliba's absence in particular weakens the backline, and Lille have scored in all five of their recent matches. Still, Arsenal's firepower and home advantage is a strong enough base. Arsenal win the handicap at -1 looks stretched; the cleaner play is DNB on Arsenal. At 1.03 it is essentially break-even, so the value angle is the Asian handicap -1 at 1.32-1.33. Four wins in five, home ground, UCL motivation: Arsenal -1 AH at 1.32.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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