Arsenal open their Premier League campaign hosting a Coventry side making their top-flight return. The Gunners arrive on the back of a 3-0 Community Shield win over Manchester City, while Coventry's pre-season has been tidy but limited to lower-level opposition. William Saliba is absent, which matters defensively, yet the class gap between these two squads is stark.
Arsenal have scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches and gone over 2.5 in every one of them. Coventry conceded in just 2 of their last 5, but those clean sheets came against Championship and friendly opposition. The market has Arsenal at 1.17-1.18 to win; the AH -1.5 line sits at 1.53-1.55, a fairer reflection of the true margin expected.
At -1.5 and 1.55, Arsenal offer genuine value for a side expected to dominate from the first whistle. Back the Gunners to win by two or more.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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