Ararat-Armenia arrive at this UCL first-leg tie having scored in all five of their last matches, but they have also conceded in three of those five and shipped eight goals in the process. Celje, meanwhile, have not lost in five outings, collecting four draws and one win, though their defensive record is the real talking point: zero clean sheets across those five games.
The numbers point firmly one way on goals. Both sides have seen BTTS land in three of five (Ararat) and five of five (Celje) recent matches. Celje have conceded in all five of their last fixtures. Ararat have scored in all five. Over 2.5 goals has landed in three of five for each side, but BTTS YES at 1.70-1.73 is the tighter, more repeatable angle here.
Celje's inability to keep a clean sheet - zero in five - combined with Ararat's 100 per cent scoring rate makes BTTS YES the standout price. Back it at 1.73 with bet365. The Draw No Bet on Celje at 1.67 is the value alternative if you want a result angle.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service