Angers host Troyes in Ligue 1 round 5, carrying a mixed but workable record: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses across their last five outings. Troyes arrive in worse shape, with only 1 win in 5 and a defensive record that has leaked 10 goals in that stretch. Four absentees on the Troyes side add further pressure on a backline already struggling. The model puts Angers at 55% to win and 80% to avoid defeat. In four previous meetings, Angers have won 3 and lost just 1, scoring 9 goals against 6. Troyes have conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Angers have scored in 3 of 5. The price of 2.20 on the home win sits above the model's implied fair value of around 1.82, making it the clearest edge on the card. Back Angers to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 20.04.24 | Ligue 2 | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 16.12.23 | Ligue 2 | 1–4 | O2.5 |
| 27.05.23 | Ligue 1 | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 28.08.22 | Ligue 1 | 3–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service