Angers arrive in mixed form - two wins, one draw, two defeats in their last five - while Marseille have managed just one win in five across all competitions. Both sides are leaking goals: Angers conceded in 3 of their last 5, Marseille in 4 of their last 5. Simbakoli is out for the hosts; Cornelius and Hojbjerg miss out for the visitors.
The model puts BTTS probability at 54%. Head-to-head data reinforces that number hard: both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings, with Angers scoring in 4 of those 5 games and conceding in all 5. Angers have scored in 4 of their last 5 across all games; Marseille have scored in 3 of their last 5.
At 1.53, the BTTS YES price is tight but the structural case is solid. Angers are not a side that shuts up shop, and Marseille carry enough attacking threat to trouble them. Main tip: BTTS YES at 1.53.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 17.01.26 | Ligue 1 | 2–5 | O2.5 |
| 29.10.25 | Ligue 1 | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 09.02.25 | Ligue 1 | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 04.10.24 | Ligue 1 | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 14.05.23 | Ligue 1 | 3–1 | O2.5 |
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