Two of the weakest sides in League D meet in Round 1. Andorra have won just 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring in only 1 of those 5 games. Malta are winless in 4 of their last 5, though they have scored in 3 of 5. Both teams arrive in poor form, with combined records showing more clean sheets than BTTS games across recent fixtures.
The head-to-head record is the sharpest signal: 0 BTTS in both previous meetings, 0 goals scored by Andorra across those 2 games, and 0 matches going over 2.5. In their last 5, Andorra registered 0 BTTS across all games. Malta triggered BTTS in just 2 of 5. The market prices BTTS No at 1.52-1.53, which the model reads as fair value given both sides' chronic difficulty in finding the net simultaneously.
Verdict: BTTS No at 1.53 (bet365). The data is consistent - neither side scores freely enough to guarantee both netting. Alt: back Malta on the 1X2 at 2.38, as they have won more recently and the h2h shows Andorra have failed to score in both prior encounters.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.11.24 | UEFA Nations League | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 10.09.24 | UEFA Nations League | 0–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service