Anderlecht arrive at Round 3 with two domestic defeats already, losing 0-1 to Beveren and 0-3 to Royale Union SG in their last two league outings. Kortrijk are worse: zero wins in five matches, conceding 12 goals across that run, and no clean sheet to their name. Both sides are hurting, but the key pattern is Anderlecht's defensive solidity at home when the opponent is limited.
The model locks in at 90% for under 2.5 goals and 90% for BTTS-No. In five recent head-to-heads, Anderlecht kept 2 clean sheets and BTTS landed only twice. Kortrijk have scored in just 3 of their last 5 matches and Anderlecht conceded in 3 of 5. The over 2.5 price of 1.57 implies roughly 64%, against our 10%. Under 2.5 at 2.35 is where the value sits.
Main tip: Under 2.5 goals at 2.35 (bet365). The model's 90% probability makes this the clearest edge on the card. A tight, low-scoring Anderlecht home win is the most likely script.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.01.25 | First Division A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 03.11.24 | First Division A | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 16.03.24 | First Division A | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 17.09.23 | First Division A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 19.02.23 | First Division A | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service