Altrincham arrive at this FA Cup Final as the clear in-form side. Four wins from their last five National League outings, with 10 goals scored, paint a picture of a team in confident attacking rhythm. FC United, operating a level below in the Non League Premier, have managed just one win in five: two draws, two defeats, and a goal difference of zero across that run. The class gap is real.
The numbers back Altrincham firmly. They scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches and went over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 5. FC United scored in only 3 of 5 and kept one clean sheet. In head-to-head meetings, both sides have scored every time - 3 from 3 - but Altrincham have conceded 7 against 4 scored in those fixtures, so clean-sheet confidence is limited.
The 1X2 home price of 1.33 (bet365) is short but justified by the evidence. A more interesting angle is Altrincham on AH -1.5 at 1.85 (1xBet): four wins, a high-scoring recent run, and a visibly weaker opponent make two-goal winning margin a genuine expectation.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 11.07.23 | Club Friendlies | 4–1 | O2.5 |
| 09.02.19 | National League N / S | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 14.08.18 | National League N / S | 1–2 | O2.5 |
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