Mar del Plata hosts a side that has lost three Liga Profesional games on the bounce, keeping zero clean sheets across their last five outings. Tigre arrive juggling two competitions but showed real steel beating River Plate just a week ago, and they carry the calm of a squad that knows how to win ugly.
The numbers tilt clearly away. Aldosivi: 1 win, 3 losses, 0 clean sheets in five recent games, conceding in all 5. Tigre: 2 wins in five, 2 clean sheets, and crucially in the head-to-head they have won all 3 meetings without conceding once, scoring 5 goals. Three absentees for Tigre hurt, but the h2h pattern is too loud to ignore.
Tigre DNB at 1.75 is the safe route, but the full away win at 2.62 (bet365) is the play. Model probability sits at 55% for the Tigre victory. Back the visitors.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 12.02.26 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 21.09.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 09.03.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–2 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service