Aldershot arrive at this FA Cup Final in poor domestic form, losing three of their last five across all competitions. Every one of those five matches produced goals at both ends, and they have kept zero clean sheets in that run. Tadley, by contrast, have won four of their last five, all in the FA Cup, building momentum precisely in this competition.
The numbers sharpen the gap. Aldershot have conceded in all five recent outings; Tadley have conceded in only three of five and kept two clean sheets. Tadley's goals-against tally of four across five matches compares favourably to Aldershot's twelve. The away side has been the more disciplined unit by a clear margin.
With no head-to-head record to lean on, form is the only guide, and it points one way. Tadley on the draw no bet market is the call. No odds are available at time of writing, but the value case is firm at any price below 1.80.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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