Albania host San Marino in Nations League C round 4. The Albanians won 3-0 in the reverse fixture just days ago and hold a perfect 3W-0D-0L record across all three head-to-head meetings, conceding zero goals in every one. San Marino arrive having lost all 5 of their last matches, shipping 18 goals against 2 scored. The model puts Albania's win probability at 75% and BTTS-No at 75%, both pointing firmly in one direction.
The key numbers: San Marino have kept zero clean sheets in their last 5 games and scored in only 2 of those 5. Albania have kept 2 clean sheets in 5 recent outings and blanked San Marino in all 3 previous meetings. The h2h aggregate reads 10 goals for Albania, 0 against. The AH -2.5 line sits at 1.42 (bet365), a price the model considers undervalued given the historical margin.
Verdict: Albania -2.5 Asian Handicap at 1.42 is the main play. The data points to a comfortable multi-goal Albanian win with San Marino failing to score.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 29.09.26 | UEFA Nations League | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 08.09.21 | UEFA World Cup Qualifiers | 5–0 | O2.5 |
| 31.03.21 | UEFA World Cup Qualifiers | 0–2 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service