Ajax arrive at Eredivisie round 2 with four wins from five recent outings and 14 goals scored across that run. Three defenders are absent through injury, yet the squad depth has not shown in dropped points so far. Heerenveen opened their league campaign with a 1-0 win over Twente and carry no injury concerns, but their only competitive result this season was a single tight match.
The numbers that matter most here come from the head-to-head record. In five meetings Ajax have kept three clean sheets, conceded in only 2 of those 5 games, and the fixture has gone over 2.5 just once. Both teams scored in only 2 of the 5 clashes. Ajax's own recent form screams goals, but this specific opponent tends to shut that tap. Under 2.5 is available at 2.80-2.88.
The verdict: back Under 2.5 goals at 2.88. The h2h pattern is too consistent to ignore, and Heerenveen's 1-0 win to open the season hints at a disciplined defensive setup. Confidence is measured.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 17.05.26 | Eredivisie | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 01.11.25 | Eredivisie | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 19.01.25 | Eredivisie | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 11.08.24 | Eredivisie | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 11.02.24 | Eredivisie | 3–2 | O2.5 |
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