San Siro under the lights, a wounded Milan hosting a Venezia side already beaten on matchday one. The Rossoneri lost Gimenez, Leao and Pulisic to injury, but they opened the season with a 2-1 win at Torino and their recent record against this opponent is simply brutal. In the last two head-to-heads, Milan scored 6 and conceded 0, keeping a clean sheet in both meetings. Venezia opened with a 0-2 home defeat to Lecce and carry almost no away threat at this level. The h2h numbers are the story: 2 wins, 2 clean sheets, 0 goals against in 2 games. Milan's recent form shows they conceded in every one of their last 5 matches, so BTTS-NO is not the call - the bigger price is Venezia on the Asian Handicap +1.5 as a fade. Instead, back Milan -1 at 1.57-1.58, a line that reflects the class gap without asking you to predict a cricket score. Venezia are short on quality and even shorter on away firepower. Milan at -1 is the play.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 27.04.25 | Serie A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 14.09.24 | Serie A | 4–0 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service