AC Milan open their Europa League campaign unbeaten in five, posting three wins and two draws, yet their defence has leaked in four of those five outings. Benfica arrive in even sharper shape: five wins from five, 15 goals scored, only three conceded, and they have found the net in every single game. No head-to-head record exists between these sides to complicate the picture.
The numbers point firmly to goals at both ends. Milan scored in all five recent matches; Benfica conceded in three of five, meaning they are not watertight either. BTTS has landed in four of Milan's last five and in three of Benfica's last five. The market prices BTTS YES at 1.62, which sits in a reasonable range given the evidence. Milan's 1X2 price of 2.10 reflects home advantage but Benfica's goal output makes a clean sheet for either side unlikely.
Back BTTS YES at 1.62. Both squads carry attacking momentum and neither has been defensively reliable enough to shut the other out in a high-stakes European opener.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 28.07.19 | International Champions Cup | 0–1 | U2.5 |
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