Pronóstico TNS vs Sabah Baku, UEFA Champions League - 14 jul 2026

TNS arrive at this second leg already 2-0 down from the first meeting on 7 July, where they failed to score. Over their last 5 games they have collected 3 wins but also conceded in 4 of 5, and their only competitive benchmark against Sabah ended in a shutout loss. Sabah, meanwhile, scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches and posted 4 BTTS results in that span - they carry genuine attacking punch into this tie.

The key numbers: Sabah's away DNB price sits at 1.21 (Marathon). Their form_away aggregates show 7 goals scored in 5 games and a conceded_in rate of 4/5, meaning they attack but also absorb pressure - precisely the profile for a side managing a two-goal lead. TNS have scored in only 4 of their last 5 and kept just 1 clean sheet; a shut-out reversal looks improbable.

Model verdict: Sabah Baku DNB at 1.21 is a low-variance play on a side that is already through on aggregate barring a collapse. The alt angle is Over 2.5 at 1.50 - both teams have the goal-scoring record to push the total past three.

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